Saturday, December 6, 2008

The and Essentials of Statistics for Business and Economics

The (Mis)behavior of Markets: A Fractual View of Risk, Ruin, and Reward

Author: Benoit Mandelbrot

Mathematical superstar and inventor of fractal geometry, Benoit Mandelbrot, has spent the past forty years studying the underlying mathematics of space and natural patterns. What many of his followers don't realize is that he has also been watching patterns of market change. In The (Mis)Behavior of Markets, Mandelbrot joins with science journalist and former Wall Street Journal editor Richard L. Hudson to reveal what a fractal view of the world of finance looks like. The result is a revolutionary reevaluation of the standard tools and models of modern financial theory. Markets, we learn, are far riskier than we have wanted to believe. From the gyrations of IBM's stock price and the Dow, to cotton trading, and the dollar-Euro exchange rate--Mandelbrot shows that the world of finance can be understood in more accurate, and volatile, terms than the tired theories of yesteryear.The ability to simplify the complex has made Mandelbrot one of the century's most i nfluential mathematicians. With The (Mis)Behavior of Markets, he puts the tools of higher mathematics into the hands of every person involved with markets, from financial analysts to economists to 401(k) holders. Markets will never be seen as "safe bets" again.



Table of Contents:

Abstractv
Acknowledgmentsxiii
Prelude: Introducing a Maverick in Sciencexv
Part IThe Old Way
Chapter IRisk, Ruin, and Reward3
Chapter IIBy the Toss of a Coin or the Flight of an Arrow?25
Chapter IIIBachelier and His Legacy43
Chapter IVThe House of Modern Finance59
Chapter VThe Case Against the Modern Theory of Finance79
Pictorial Essay: Images of the Abnormal88
Part IIThe New Way
Chapter VITurbulent Markets: A Preview111
Chapter VIIStudies in Roughness: A Fractal Primer123
Pictorial Essay: A Fractal Gallery132
Chapter VIIIThe Mystery of Cotton147
Chapter IXLong Memory, from the Nile to the Marketplace173
Chapter X Noah, Joseph, and Market Bubbles197
Chapter XIThe Multifractal Nature of Trading Time207
Part IIIThe Way Ahead
Chapter XIITen Heresies of Finance225
Chapter XIIIIn the Lab253
Notes277
Bibliography303
Index318

Look this: Managerial Communication and Developing Management Skills

Essentials of Statistics for Business and Economics (with CD-ROM)

Author: David R Anderson

Trust the latest version of this market-leading essentials text to introduce sound statistical methodology in a proven applications setting. ESSENTIALS OF STATISTICS FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS, 5e, includes all of the strengths of the longer best-selling Anderson/Sweeney/Williams STATISTICS FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS, with a focus on the most important core topics for a concise presentation that's easy for students to follow. This brief introduction to business statistics offers a wealth of actual business examples, proven methods, and application exercises that clearly demonstrate how statistical results provide insights into business decisions and present solutions to contemporary business problems. High-quality problems, trusted for their unwavering accuracy, and the authors' signature problem-scenario approach clearly show how to apply statistical methods in practical business situations. New case problems as well as methods, applications, and self-test exercises en courage students to master formulas, apply materials, and evaluate their personal understanding. Optional updated appendices highlight the latest Excel® 2007 and Minitab® 15 popular commercial software, giving you the choice of integrating or omitting computer coverage in your course. This edition's concise approach and comprehensive support package, now including CengageNOW course management system, provides everything you need for an effective statistics course that prepares students for the essentials of statistics success in business today.

Booknews

Focusing on business and economic applications of statistics, this textbook covers data, descriptive statistics, discrete and continuous probability distributions, sampling, interval estimation, hypothesis testing, comparisons involving means, comparison involving proportions, simple linear regression, and multiple regression. Approximately 100 data sets are included on the companion CD-ROM. The authors teach quantitative analysis and management science at the University of Cincinnati and the Rochester Institute of Technology. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)



Table of Contents:

Preface
About the Authors
Ch. 1Data and Statistics1
Ch. 2Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical Methods23
Ch. 3Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Methods75
Ch. 4Introduction to Probability139
Ch. 5Discrete Probability Distributions185
Ch. 6Continuous Probability Distributions225
Ch. 7Sampling and Sampling Distributions255
Ch. 8Interval Estimation296
Ch. 9Hypothesis Testing337
Ch. 10Comparisons Involving Means387
Ch. 11Comparisons Involving Proportions and a Test of Independence446
Ch. 12Simple Linear Regression478
Ch. 13Multiple Regression547
Appendixes595
App. A: References and Bibliography596
App. B: Tables597
App. C: Summation Notation618
App. D: Answers to Even-Numbered Exercises620
App. E: Solutions to Self-Test Exercises634
Index651

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