The (Mis)behavior of Markets: A Fractual View of Risk, Ruin, and Reward
Author: Benoit Mandelbrot
Mathematical superstar and inventor of fractal geometry, Benoit Mandelbrot, has spent the past forty years studying the underlying mathematics of space and natural patterns. What many of his followers don't realize is that he has also been watching patterns of market change. In The (Mis)Behavior of Markets, Mandelbrot joins with science journalist and former Wall Street Journal editor Richard L. Hudson to reveal what a fractal view of the world of finance looks like. The result is a revolutionary reevaluation of the standard tools and models of modern financial theory. Markets, we learn, are far riskier than we have wanted to believe. From the gyrations of IBM's stock price and the Dow, to cotton trading, and the dollar-Euro exchange rate--Mandelbrot shows that the world of finance can be understood in more accurate, and volatile, terms than the tired theories of yesteryear.The ability to simplify the complex has made Mandelbrot one of the century's most i nfluential mathematicians. With The (Mis)Behavior of Markets, he puts the tools of higher mathematics into the hands of every person involved with markets, from financial analysts to economists to 401(k) holders. Markets will never be seen as "safe bets" again.
Table of Contents:
Abstract | v | |
Acknowledgments | xiii | |
Prelude: Introducing a Maverick in Science | xv | |
Part I | The Old Way | |
Chapter I | Risk, Ruin, and Reward | 3 |
Chapter II | By the Toss of a Coin or the Flight of an Arrow? | 25 |
Chapter III | Bachelier and His Legacy | 43 |
Chapter IV | The House of Modern Finance | 59 |
Chapter V | The Case Against the Modern Theory of Finance | 79 |
Pictorial Essay: Images of the Abnormal | 88 | |
Part II | The New Way | |
Chapter VI | Turbulent Markets: A Preview | 111 |
Chapter VII | Studies in Roughness: A Fractal Primer | 123 |
Pictorial Essay: A Fractal Gallery | 132 | |
Chapter VIII | The Mystery of Cotton | 147 |
Chapter IX | Long Memory, from the Nile to the Marketplace | 173 |
Chapter X | Noah, Joseph, and Market Bubbles | 197 |
Chapter XI | The Multifractal Nature of Trading Time | 207 |
Part III | The Way Ahead | |
Chapter XII | Ten Heresies of Finance | 225 |
Chapter XIII | In the Lab | 253 |
Notes | 277 | |
Bibliography | 303 | |
Index | 318 |
Look this: Managerial Communication and Developing Management Skills
Essentials of Statistics for Business and Economics (with CD-ROM)
Author: David R Anderson
Trust the latest version of this market-leading essentials text to introduce sound statistical methodology in a proven applications setting. ESSENTIALS OF STATISTICS FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS, 5e, includes all of the strengths of the longer best-selling Anderson/Sweeney/Williams STATISTICS FOR BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS, with a focus on the most important core topics for a concise presentation that's easy for students to follow. This brief introduction to business statistics offers a wealth of actual business examples, proven methods, and application exercises that clearly demonstrate how statistical results provide insights into business decisions and present solutions to contemporary business problems. High-quality problems, trusted for their unwavering accuracy, and the authors' signature problem-scenario approach clearly show how to apply statistical methods in practical business situations. New case problems as well as methods, applications, and self-test exercises en courage students to master formulas, apply materials, and evaluate their personal understanding. Optional updated appendices highlight the latest Excel® 2007 and Minitab® 15 popular commercial software, giving you the choice of integrating or omitting computer coverage in your course. This edition's concise approach and comprehensive support package, now including CengageNOW course management system, provides everything you need for an effective statistics course that prepares students for the essentials of statistics success in business today.
Booknews
Focusing on business and economic applications of statistics, this textbook covers data, descriptive statistics, discrete and continuous probability distributions, sampling, interval estimation, hypothesis testing, comparisons involving means, comparison involving proportions, simple linear regression, and multiple regression. Approximately 100 data sets are included on the companion CD-ROM. The authors teach quantitative analysis and management science at the University of Cincinnati and the Rochester Institute of Technology. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)
Table of Contents:
Preface | ||
About the Authors | ||
Ch. 1 | Data and Statistics | 1 |
Ch. 2 | Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical Methods | 23 |
Ch. 3 | Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Methods | 75 |
Ch. 4 | Introduction to Probability | 139 |
Ch. 5 | Discrete Probability Distributions | 185 |
Ch. 6 | Continuous Probability Distributions | 225 |
Ch. 7 | Sampling and Sampling Distributions | 255 |
Ch. 8 | Interval Estimation | 296 |
Ch. 9 | Hypothesis Testing | 337 |
Ch. 10 | Comparisons Involving Means | 387 |
Ch. 11 | Comparisons Involving Proportions and a Test of Independence | 446 |
Ch. 12 | Simple Linear Regression | 478 |
Ch. 13 | Multiple Regression | 547 |
Appendixes | 595 | |
App. A: References and Bibliography | 596 | |
App. B: Tables | 597 | |
App. C: Summation Notation | 618 | |
App. D: Answers to Even-Numbered Exercises | 620 | |
App. E: Solutions to Self-Test Exercises | 634 | |
Index | 651 |
No comments:
Post a Comment